Southie’s not the only Boston neighborhood that likes Scott Brown

February 16, 2010
By Conor

Obviously it comes as no surprise that Democrats overwhelmed Republicans in the majority of Boston during last month’s special election.   But there were a couple of areas of strength for Scott Brown in the city.  He won one district, and ran fairly strong in three others.  While South Boston was the only neighborhood in which the Republican actually topped Martha Coakley, he came pretty close in Charlestown, West Roxbury, and East Boston.

Here’s the quick run down (because there really isn’t much drama), and I decided to add the precincts to these totals from here on out so readers can see how the numbers break down:

(Note: Some of these districts have one or two precincts in different neighborhoods, but I am listing them with the neighborhood they primarily represent.  Bostonians, please forgive me if I am slightly off.)

First Suffolk (East Boston) – Currently Represented by Carlo Basile (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 1, Pcts. 1-14 2572 3083
45% 55%

Not a bad showing from Republican voters in East Boston.  Still no candidate has stepped up to challenge Basile as far as I can tell.

Second Suffolk (Charlestown and Chelsea) – Currently represented by Eugene O’Flaherty (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 2, Pcts. 1-7 2907 3072
CHELSEA – Wds. 1, 2 537 1106
Wd. 3, Pcts. 1, 3 131 294
Wd. 4, Pcts. 1, 4 247 377
Total 3822 4849

44% 56%

Very similar to Basile’s district, although Brown was even closer to winning Charlestown than he was Eastie.  O’Flaherty does not have a challenger as of yet.

Third Suffolk (North End, Beacon Hill, South End, Bay Village) – Currently represented by Aaron Michlewitz (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 3, Pcts. 1-4, 6-8 3358 4862
Wd. 4, Pct. 1 267 809
Wd. 5, Pct. 1 494 1134
Wd. 8, Pcts. 1, 2, 3 221 1217
Total 4340 8022
35% 65%

Haven’t heard anything about a challenger in the North End, so right now the freshman Rep. appears headed to an easy re-election.

Fourth Suffolk (South Boston) – Currently represented by Brian Wallace (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 1, Pct. 15 0 0
Wd. 6, Pcts. 1-9 3785 3010
Wd. 7, Pcts. 1-9 2939 2437
Wd. 8, Pct. 6 26 116
Wd. 13, Pct 3 72 308
Total 6822 5871

54% 46%

Most of you guessed correctly last week (and then the coverage over the weekend made it obvious) that Brian Wallace’s South Boston district went big for Scott Brown.  The irony is that Wallace actually has several Democratic challengers.

On his left, Wallace is looking at challenges from Michael McGee, Jeffrey Poreda, and Jacob Bombard.  One Republican, Patrick Brennan, has also entered the race. I actually need to recuse myself from commenting on this campaign for the time being, as one of those challengers was a groomsman in my wedding.

Fifth Suffolk (Dorchester) – Currently represented by Marie St. Fleur (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 7, Pct. 10 45 303
Wd. 8, Pcts. 5, 7 40 636
Wd. 12, Pct. 6 10 273
Wd. 13, Pcts. 1, 2, 4, 5, 6 142 1409
Wd. 15, Pcts. 1-5, 7, 8, 9 293 2339
Wd. 16, Pct. 1 105 259
Wd. 17, Pct. 2 36 233
Total 671 5452

11% 89%

Not much to say about this one.  St. Fleur will cruise to re-election, likely unopposed.

Sixth Suffolk (Dorchester, Mattapan, Hyde Park, JP) – Currently represented by Willie Mae Allen (D).  Open seat in 2010.

Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 14, Pcts. 5, 8-14 90 2504
Wd. 17, Pcts. 7, 8, 10, 11 73 1236
Wd. 18, Pct. 7, 8, 15 353 1757
Wd. 19, Pcts. 11, 12, 13 282 1181
Total 798 6678

11% 89%

Allen announced her retirement last week, so this seat will be open.  The State House News reports that potential candidates include Karen Payne, Kathy Gabriel, and Darrin Howell.

Seventh Suffolk (Roxbury, Fenway) – Currently represented by Gloria Fox (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 4, Pcts. 8, 9, 10 169 538
Wd. 8, Pct. 4 6 152
Wd. 9, Pcts. 4, 5 56 1057
Wd. 10, Pct. 4 124 420
Wd. 11, Pct. 1 19 348
Wd. 12, Pcts. 1-5, 8, 9 98 2610
Wd. 21, Pct. 1 157 446
Total 629 5571

10% 90%

Another Democratic blowout, another likely unopposed State Rep.

Eighth Suffolk (Beacon Hill, Back Bay) – Currently represented by Marty Walz (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 3, Pct. 5 508 809
Wd. 5, Pcts. 3-9, 11 2693 4253
CAMBRIDGE (Middlesex County) – Wd. 2, Pct. 3 47 112
Wd. 3, Pct. 3 58 627
Wd. 5 446 3343
Total 3752 9144

29% 71%

I applaud GOP efforts to challenge Democratic incumbents and try to pick up some seats, but it will take more than Scott Brown momentum to help Republican challenger Brad Marston upset Walz.  In fact, as you can see, Brown had no momentum in the 8th Suffolk, and as chair of the Committee on Education, Walz can point to a major achievement with last month’s passage of the education reform bill.

Ninth Suffolk (South End) – Currently represented by Byron Rushing (D).


Brown Coakley
CAMBRIDGE (Middlesex County) – Wd. 2, Pct. 2 58 148
BOSTON – Wd. 4, Pcts. 2-7 1261 3233
Wd. 5, Pct. 2, 10 455 1075
Wd. 9, Pcts. 1, 2, 3 335 2048
Total 2109 6504

24% 76%

At this point I am only going to make notes if there is a challenger, open seat, or interesting numbers.

Tenth Suffolk (West Roxbury, three precincts of Brookline) – Currently represented by Michael Rush (D).  Open seat in 2010.

Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 20, Pcts. 3, 5-7, 10-20 6142 6167
Brookline (Norfolk County) – Pcts. 14, 15, 16 1625 2838
Total 7767 9005

46% 54%

Rush has announced that he will run for the State Senate, so this seat will also be open in 2010.  As you can see, Brown very nearly won West Roxbury (missed by just 25 votes), and kept it close in this district.  While the inclusion of part of Brookline will likely keep Rush’s district in the blue column, anything can happen with an open seat.  Anything, that is, if a Republican candidate actually runs.  To my knowledge, only Democrats Paul Sullivan and Kelly Tynan have announced their intention to run.

Eleventh Suffolk (Dorchester, Jamaica Plain, Roxbury) – Currently represented by Elizabeth Malia (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 11, Pcts. 2-5, 7-10 370 4271
Wd. 12, Pct. 7 23 646
Wd. 14, Pcts. 1-4, 6, 7 117 2572
Wd. 19, Pcts. 6, 7 210 1648
Total 720 9137

7% 93%

Like Wallace, Malia may be facing a primary challenge from a fellow Democrat in September.  There were reports as far back as October that Rose Staram may challenge Malia, although I cannot find a record of her in OCPF.   When 93% of the district is voting Democratic, a challenger would probably have to be pretty far left to pull off the upset.

Twelfth Suffolk (Dorchester and Mattapan) – Currently represented by Linda Dorcena Forry (D).


Brown Coakley
Milton – Pcts. 1, 3 709 1352
BOSTON – Wd. 16, Pcts. 8, 11, 12 1091 1166
Wd. 17, Pcts. 4, 12-14 479 1952
Wd. 18, Pcts. 1-6, 21 216 4523
Total 2495 8993

22% 78%

Thirteenth Suffolk (Dorchester) – Currently represented by Marty Walsh (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 13, Pcts. 7-10 844 1474
Wd. 15, Pct. 6 105 178
Wd. 16, Pcts. 2-7, 9, 10 1944 2535
Wd. 17, Pcts. 1, 3, 5, 6, 9 208 1964
Total 3101 6151

34% 66%

Fourteenth Suffolk (Roslindale and Hyde Park) – Currently represented by Angelo Scaccia (D).


Brown Coakley
Milton (Norfolk County) – Pct. 11 434 771
BOSTON – Wd. 18, Pcts. 9-14, 16-20, 22, 23 3016 6160
Wd. 19, Pct. 10 187 642
Wd. 20, Pcts. 8, 9 486 810
Total 4123 8383

33% 67%

Fifteenth Suffolk (Jamaica Plain, Mission Hill) – Currently represented by Jeffrey Sanchez (D).


Brown Coakley
Brookline (Norfolk County) – Pct. 5 272 961
BOSTON – Wd. 10, Pcts. 1-3, 5-9 571 3003
Wd. 11, Pct. 6 57 476
Wd. 19, Pcts. 1-5, 8, 9 853 4461
Wd. 20, Pcts. 1, 2, 4 663 1686
Total 2416 10587

19% 81%

Seventeenth Suffolk (Allston-Brighton) – Currently represented by Kevin Honan (D).


Brown Coakley
BOSTON – Wd. 21, Pcts. 3, 5-12 1468 3200
Wd. 22, Pcts. 2, 3, 6, 9, 10 1042 2019
Total 2510 5219

32% 68%

Eighteen Suffolk (Allston-Brighton, one precinct of Brookline) – Currently represented by Michael Moran (D).


Brown Coakley
Brookline (Norfolk County) – Pct. 1 287 913
BOSTON – Wd. 21, Pcts. 2, 4, 13-16 999 1960
Wd. 22, Pcts. 1, 4, 5, 7, 8, 11-13 1549 2609
Total 2835 5482

34% 66%

———-

You may have noticed that I skipped the 16th (Reinstein) and 19th (DeLeo) Suffolk districts, because I am still waiting for complete numbers from Saugus and Revere.  Since Brown won both of those towns, I need to hold off on those districts.

The good news for Democrats is that, for the most part, they still dominate the vote in the city of Boston.  But as you may have noticed, there were some bright spots for Republicans besides Southie.  Scott Brown posted strong numbers in West Roxbury, East Boston, and Charlestown

The bad news for Democrats is that I have now already covered the Berkshires and Boston, which were Martha Coakley’s best regions.

Next up is Plymouth County, where Scott Brown nearly pulled off the sweep.

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4 Responses to “ Southie’s not the only Boston neighborhood that likes Scott Brown ”

  1. Jumbowonk on February 16, 2010 at 1:58 pm

    I’m pretty surprised it was so close in West Roxbury; there were tons of Scott Brown signs up, and almost no Coakley signs. Plus, Mike Rush wins there by going to the right. Maybe it’s because Scott Brown isn’t a West Roxbury type of conservative; typically, they’re socially conservative Irish Catholic Democrats. The pro-choice Protestant Scott Brown didn’t have what it takes for a blowout in West Roxbury

  2. Al on February 16, 2010 at 11:35 pm

    “Not a bad showing from Republican voters in East Boston.”

    Not “Republican voters”, because that implies that the voters are registered Republicans which is likely not the case. Instead, Scott Brown voters, or disaffected voters, or voters just not enthused by a colorless Martha Coakley.

  3. Jim-C on February 20, 2010 at 9:55 am

    Scott Brown actually won West Roxbury — not by much but he did!

    Many people are calling Ward 20 – Precinct 7, and Ward 20 Precinct 6 (which are majority Roslindale and only partly West Roxbury)as West Roxbury. Not so.

  4. ConnieTooshun on February 27, 2010 at 10:41 pm

    Does this mean that George Burton has a chance against Mike Capuano?

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